OT: Positive advice for dealing with Covid-19 (no politics or complaints about governance please)

wim

https://www.dailydot.com/debug/cellphone-heat-map-coronavirus/

By way of education and encouragement to respect containment measures, some interesting real illustration of how this stuff can spread.

Moderndaycompiler

@wim said:
https://www.dailydot.com/debug/cellphone-heat-map-coronavirus/

By way of education and encouragement to respect containment measures, some interesting real illustration of how this stuff can spread.

Thanks @wim
Interesting how data mining things like cellphones and people’s temperatures tell a story.
Question is, will this story teach us and future generations any long lasting lessons....

Hmtx

@InfoCheck that looks like a political issue. you might want to remove that post and move it to the thread for venting about management https://forum.audiob.us/discussion/37643/ot-vent-about-global-pandemic-management-here

[edit: thanks for fixing ]

Everyone doing OK here? Anyone in New York? Sounds bad up there.

[Deleted User]

@Hmtx said:
@InfoCheck that looks like a political issue. you might want to remove that post and move it to the thread for venting about management https://forum.audiob.us/discussion/37643/ot-vent-about-global-pandemic-management-here

You’re right, wrong thread.

McD

We ran out of some food items but a neighbor was willing to do a food run for us and we paid her using PayPal. She left the food by the side door and we were able to maintain self-quarantine. The delivery times on a lot of online food has started to increase dramatically.

Any tips on coping? I have been compulsively building a Mozaic script that consumes hours of my time with code changes, testing and using it to create demos.

McD

FYI:

World 1.0	World 2.0
110 successive months of job growth	10 million jobless claims in 2 weeks
10 year bull market across sectors	Winners and losers with extreme outcome inequality
Full employment	30% unemployment
Base rate thinking	First principles thinking
Physical	Digital
Office by default	Remote by default
Office for work	Office for connection, community, ecosystem, makerspaces
Suit, tie, wristwatch, business card	Good lighting, microphone, webcam, home office background
Commute + traffic jams	Home + family
Last mile	Only mile
Restaurants	Groceries + delivery
$4 toast	Sourdough starter
Walkscore	Speedtest
Cities	Internet
$100k for college	Not paying $100k for a webinar
City	Countryside
YIMBY	NIMBY
Internal issues	Exogenous shock
Lots of little problems	One big problem
Stupid bullshit	Actual issues
Too much technology	Too little technology
Complacency	Action
Years	Days
Policy	Capacity
Ideology	Competence
Assume some government competence	Assume zero government competence
Institutions	Ghost ships
WHO	Who?
Trusted institutions	Trusted people
Globalization	Decoupling
Just-in-time	Stockpile
Tail risk is kooky	Tail risk is mainstream
NATO	Asia
Boomers most powerful	Boomers most vulnerable
Productivity growth collapse	Economic collapse
Social services Democrat	UBI Communist
Propaganda	Propaganda
Deficit hawks	MMT
Corporate debt	Government debt
Techlash	Tech a pillar of civilization and lifeline to billions
Break up Amazon	Don’t break up Amazon!!!
Avoiding social issues	Avoiding layoffs
Sports	Esports
Phone is a cigarette	Phone is oxygen
Resource depletion	$20 oil, $0.75 watt solar, <$100/kwh batteries
Stasis	Change
Low volatility	High volatility
Design	Logistics
Extrovert	Introvert
Open	Closed
20th century	21st century

McD

FYI:

From Business Insider:

Bill Gates said he was picking the top seven vaccine candidates and building manufacturing capacity for them. “Even though we’ll end up picking at most two of them, we’re going to fund factories for all seven, just so that we don’t waste time in serially saying, ‘OK, which vaccine works?’ and then building the factory,” he said.

Gates said that simultaneously testing and building manufacturing capacity is essential to the quick development of a vaccine, which Gates thinks could take about 18 months.

…”It’ll be a few billion dollars we’ll waste on manufacturing for the constructs that don’t get picked because something else is better,” Gates said in the clip. “But a few billion in this, the situation we’re in, where there’s trillions of dollars … being lost economically, it is worth it.”

audiobussy

@McD said:
FYI:

> > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > >

World 1.0	World 2.0
110 successive months of job growth	10 million jobless claims in 2 weeks
10 year bull market across sectors	Winners and losers with extreme outcome inequality
Full employment	30% unemployment
Base rate thinking	First principles thinking
Physical	Digital
Office by default	Remote by default
Office for work	Office for connection, community, ecosystem, makerspaces
Suit, tie, wristwatch, business card	Good lighting, microphone, webcam, home office background
Commute + traffic jams	Home + family
Last mile	Only mile
Restaurants	Groceries + delivery
$4 toast	Sourdough starter
Walkscore	Speedtest
Cities	Internet
$100k for college	Not paying $100k for a webinar
City	Countryside
YIMBY	NIMBY
Internal issues	Exogenous shock
Lots of little problems	One big problem
Stupid bullshit	Actual issues
Too much technology	Too little technology
Complacency	Action
Years	Days
Policy	Capacity
Ideology	Competence
Assume some government competence	Assume zero government competence
Institutions	Ghost ships
WHO	Who?
Trusted institutions	Trusted people
Globalization	Decoupling
Just-in-time	Stockpile
Tail risk is kooky	Tail risk is mainstream
NATO	Asia
Boomers most powerful	Boomers most vulnerable
Productivity growth collapse	Economic collapse
Social services Democrat	UBI Communist
Propaganda	Propaganda
Deficit hawks	MMT
Corporate debt	Government debt
Techlash	Tech a pillar of civilization and lifeline to billions
Break up Amazon	Don’t break up Amazon!!!
Avoiding social issues	Avoiding layoffs
Sports	Esports
Phone is a cigarette	Phone is oxygen
Resource depletion	$20 oil, $0.75 watt solar, <$100/kwh batteries
Stasis	Change
Low volatility	High volatility
Design	Logistics
Extrovert	Introvert
Open	Closed
20th century	21st century

@McD Wow. Is this your work or something you shared?

McD

@audiobussy said:

@McD said:
FYI:

@McD Wow. Is this your work or something you shared?

Cut and Paste of an HTML table... original source:

https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2020/04/world-2-0-there-are-decades-where-nothing-happens-and-weeks-where-decades-happen.html

Lot's of pointers to economists working on models, forecasting and regulatory details.
Some political leaning to the right and even alt-right. But it always makes me test assumptions with that nagging "what if I'm just wrong" and common sense fixes make everything worse? Of course, common sense is a misnomer for outcomes people "want to be true".

LinearLineman

@McD, like war, 99% tedium, 1% sheer terror.

McD

@LinearLineman said:
@McD, like war, 99% tedium, 1% sheer terror.

Has there been a war on US soil since the Civil War?

LinearLineman

@McD No politics here.

knewspeak

Keep your cats inside.

wim

@knewspeak said:
Keep your cats inside.

Even if they wear masks?

knewspeak

@wim said:

@knewspeak said:
Keep your cats inside.

Even if they wear masks?

These would be purrfect...

knewspeak

France gets tougher restrictions, no sneezing outside without covering your mouth/face, can’t wait to hear the next step, ‘no breathing outside’?

u0421793

Not allowed to take your tiger with you when you go out to get your shopping in.

knewspeak

@u0421793 said:
Not allowed to take your tiger with you when you go out to get your shopping in.

That’s a pity, I have to take something out shopping with me, that’s way more dangerous, my son.

Redo1

A great interview here with Dr Greger who has a new book on pandemics coming out next month. He’s been warning us of this since 2008. But will people listen?

knewspeak

Massive breakthrough £35 to save a life, saving 35% of those needing ventilation, dexamethasone. Some great news at last.